Mathematical modelling of the dynamics of the socio-economic vulnerability of rural Sahelian households in a context of climatic variability

Zorom M., Barbier B., Gouba E., Somé B.
2018

Policy makers need to predict the socio-economic vulnerability of their populations to climate change. The method proposed in this paper links the outputs of five regional climate models (CCLM, HadRM3P, RACMO, RCA and REMO) to a compartmental model. The method was applied to a representative village in the Sahelian region of Burkina Faso. The integrated model shows the evolution of three ...

Sociologie rurale et sécurité sociale; Météorologie et climatologie; Méthodes mathématiques et statistiques